World Rugby Men’s Rankings Preview: 26-27 February, 2022

World Rugby has published the ranking permutations for the Rugby Europe Championship and Guinness Six Nations matches this weekend.

Permutation highlights:
• Spain must beat Romania by more than 15 points to become the higher ranked of the two nations as a smaller margin will leave them 0.02 rating points behind
• In this event, the sides will swap places with Spain taking over 15th – their highest ever ranking – and Romania falling to 17th
• Romania will drop below Tonga if beaten by Spain
• Spain will fall at least two places to 19th – below USA and Uruguay – in defeat, three if Portugal also beat the Netherlands
• Romania cannot improve on 15th place even with victory by more than 15 points, but would close to 0.32 rating points of Italy above
• Portugal cannot improve their rating with victory over the Netherlands due to the 9.42 rating points between the sides before home weighting is factored in
• The Netherlands will climb above Russia in victory but must win by more than 15 points to also leapfrog Namibia
• Scotland will climb above Australia into sixth with victory over France and would equal their high of fifth place if Ireland also lose to Italy
• However, they could drop as low as eighth in defeat depending on other results
• France can end the weekend in third if they win and England fail to beat Wales
• England will surrender third place if they fail to beat Wales and either France avoid defeat against Scotland or Ireland beat Italy
• Wales will climb two places to sixth if they beat England and Scotland lose to France. In that scenario England would drop to fifth
• Wales will be the higher ranked of the two nations if they win by more than 15 points
• Wales can climb as high as fifth if they beat England by more than 15 points and there are draws in the other two Six Nations fixtures. Third or fourth is possible, depending on their margin of victory and other results
• England could drop as low as seventh if a loss by more than 15 points is combined with a Scottish victory over France
• Ireland cannot improve their rating with victory over Italy due to the 15.49 rating points between the sides before home weighting is factored in
• However, a victorious Ireland will climb above a France side beaten in Scotland
• Italy must win by more than 15 points to climb above Georgia into 13th.

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